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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+7.40vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.12vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+7.62vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+2.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.21vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75-2.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+2.13vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-0.97vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.71vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91-2.40vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-2.79vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-2.39vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.01+0.71vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.01-3.19vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-5.96vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.77-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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6.17Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.13Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.21North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.61University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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15.71SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.81Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 49.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 12.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.