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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+5.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.80vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.20+2.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44+4.03vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.01+4.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.05vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-1.08vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-1.70vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.28-0.03vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.24-1.35vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.65-4.04vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.01+0.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.06-3.38vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-6.11vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.03Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.56Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.3Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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11.97Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.65University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.96North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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15.64SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 48.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.