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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.99vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+6.86vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+3.58vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+4.77vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.20vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-0.01vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.75-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.24+0.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.71vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-7.12vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.65-4.84vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.91-6.87vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.01-4.23vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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4.98Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.86Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.9Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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12.04University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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6.88Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.16North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.77Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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15.51SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 7.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 17.0% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.