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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+9.86vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.94vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+6.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.72vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+3.72vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.35vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03-0.42vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+1.24vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.68vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-1.48vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.75-3.42vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.18-6.25vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-7.96vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.01-3.31vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-5.12vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.86Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.94Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.38Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.24Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.52North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.58Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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7.04Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.69Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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15.51SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.8% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.