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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.99+8.22vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+4.62vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+5.41vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+1.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48+5.45vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.25-1.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.55-0.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-3.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.01-0.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-4.07vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.49-0.62vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.13-4.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-5.28vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University1.978.8%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University2.1710.5%1st Place
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6.36Brown University1.999.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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5.01Yale University2.2513.8%1st Place
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7.89Brown University1.555.9%1st Place
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5.61Boston College2.0912.3%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University1.013.5%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.108.1%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College1.135.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.7%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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13.25University of New Hampshire-0.221.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Young | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.