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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+4.99vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine3.43-0.89vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.54+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles2.63-2.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.57-0.61vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-4.31vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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2.88Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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6.62Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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6.69California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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8.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 29.2% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 16.6% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| Joshua Kew | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 26.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 27.2% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| Erik Lund | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.