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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+6.07vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+7.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+6.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+7.53vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+5.14vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.01+6.00vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91+1.37vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70-2.57vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-4.74vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.77+3.02vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.01+4.21vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.27-0.70vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.11-5.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.25vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-8.08vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-7.33vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.66North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.53University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.0Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.43Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.26Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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13.02University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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15.21SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.3Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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12.75U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 19.1% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 13.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 43.4% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.