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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+6.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.40vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.01+9.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+4.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78+6.76vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.27+3.94vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.65+1.43vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.47vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.77+3.04vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.01+4.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.77vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.11-5.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-4.12vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-5.06vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.91-7.52vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-11.38vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles1.06-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.4Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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12.2Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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12.76U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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10.94Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.43North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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15.23SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.48Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.62Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 43.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.