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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+5.53vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+6.09vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+5.71vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.08vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65+2.98vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+2.53vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.97vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.27+1.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-1.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.11vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.50-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.73vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-2.71vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.75-6.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.78-3.39vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-6.17vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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8.98North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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10.6Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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11.29Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.49Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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14.94SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.