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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+5.15vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.76vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+1.90vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15-0.46vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+1.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98+0.42vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+4.10vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.28+1.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.29+3.42vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-4.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.83-1.55vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.70-1.88vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.20-4.53vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-8.87vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.9Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston College3.150.2%1st Place
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7.89Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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13.1Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.36Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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10.8North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.6University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.12Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.47Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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14.57SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 17.3% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 28.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.