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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.16+6.85vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.18vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+7.50vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.20+7.11vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.04+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+2.52vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.70+6.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98+0.23vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-3.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-5.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83+0.84vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-0.18vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.72vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.70-10.23vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-2.38vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-10.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.5North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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13.0Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.51Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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12.82Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.71Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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5.77Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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14.62SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Green | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.6% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 10.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 23.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 30.5% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.