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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.16+6.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.46vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.91+4.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.64vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46+4.29vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98+0.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.20+2.25vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.04-1.72vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.23vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.98vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-0.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.29+0.08vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.70-1.99vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-4.92vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.83-4.22vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.46Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.8Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.43University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.29North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.25Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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5.77Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.78Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.08University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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13.01Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.08Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.49SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.4% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 22.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.