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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.88vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+2.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+4.18vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72+6.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-2.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04-0.06vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28+1.95vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.46+0.52vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.91-2.34vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.70+1.31vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.20-1.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.49vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.83-2.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.66vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.16-9.29vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.85Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.79Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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12.93Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.38Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.94Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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10.95Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.52North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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13.31Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.06Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.56Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.34University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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7.71Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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14.49SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.0% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.6% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Emma Snead | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 25.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.