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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.04+7.18vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+4.35vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+2.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.48vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.16+2.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.72+6.92vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46+3.20vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.20+3.14vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-4.19vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.91-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.98vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.29+2.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.98-4.95vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.70-1.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.36vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-4.97vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.83-4.32vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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6.35Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.66Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.52Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.92Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.2North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.14Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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4.81Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.65Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.68Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.44SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lilly Myers | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.0% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 28.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.