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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+4.05vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+5.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+5.13vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97+1.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.01+3.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.67vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.13+1.07vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-3.50vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.99-3.72vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.22+1.32vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-3.35vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.17-8.17vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.44vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.49-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Yale University2.2514.1%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.107.6%1st Place
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8.02Brown University1.555.7%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University1.979.8%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.013.8%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College1.133.5%1st Place
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5.5Boston College2.0912.6%1st Place
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6.28Brown University1.999.4%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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13.32University of New Hampshire-0.220.9%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University0.933.9%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University2.1711.5%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Marykate Hanus | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 39.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.