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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+3.16vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+0.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.63+0.89vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+0.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.54+1.24vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.36-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.64-3.04vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.57-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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2.86Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.85California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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6.43Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 13.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 30.9% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 16.4% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.1% |
| Joshua Kew | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 27.1% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Erik Lund | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 23.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.