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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+4.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.04+3.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+3.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+2.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.65vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-1.91vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.70+4.00vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72+3.16vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-3.37vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.28-0.80vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.20-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.42vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.46-4.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.83-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.29-2.65vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.03Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.09Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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13.0Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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13.16Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.63Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.2Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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10.16North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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12.66Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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14.42SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 26.2% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.