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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.16+6.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+5.86vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+3.25vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+6.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+2.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.20+4.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98+0.10vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28+1.86vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-4.24vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.04-2.94vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-3.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.40-6.53vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.70-1.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.11vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.61vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-2.34vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.83-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.25Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.04North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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4.86Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.26Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.76Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.72Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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12.89Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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14.66SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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12.42Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 27.6% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 31.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.