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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.04+6.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+1.69vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+2.07vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+5.56vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.20+2.74vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28+1.46vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.16-2.73vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.83+1.35vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.88-5.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-6.52vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-4.01vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.70-3.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.29-2.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.69Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.57Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.07University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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12.56Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.74Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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10.12North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.99Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.78Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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14.21SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 25.5% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 18.6% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.