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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+4.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.34vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+7.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+3.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.04+1.56vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16+0.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.83+4.17vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.91-1.00vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.46+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.78vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.70+0.96vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.20-2.38vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-9.57vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-4.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.90vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.72-4.32vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.8Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.11Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.0University of South Florida1.910.0%1st Place
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10.03North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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12.96Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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4.43Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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11.0Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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12.68Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.18SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilly Myers | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Snead | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 24.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.5% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.