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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.99+7.36vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+5.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.61vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+1.19vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+3.81vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.49+4.31vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.55-0.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-3.05vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.25-5.99vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.17-6.26vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.47vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.13-4.84vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.01-5.65vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Roger Williams University1.979.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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8.35Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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5.61Boston College2.0912.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University1.9910.3%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University0.933.2%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University0.492.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University1.556.2%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College2.108.2%1st Place
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5.01Yale University2.2513.5%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University2.1710.7%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College1.133.5%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.014.1%1st Place
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13.28University of New Hampshire-0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Young | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 15.7% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.