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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.36+5.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+3.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine3.43+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.63+0.89vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+0.86vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05-4.22vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii3.68-4.54vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.54-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.57-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.86California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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2.78Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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3.46University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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8.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Berkeley1.540.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Grove | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Rex Cameron | 12.9% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 31.1% | 23.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Pokras | 20.3% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Erik Lund | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 24.7% |
| Joshua Kew | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 27.4% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.