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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+4.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+4.63vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+2.90vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.75+5.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.38vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03+2.08vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.15+3.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.28-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.89-1.19vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.17-0.56vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.55-7.18vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-5.20vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-3.14vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-4.00vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.44-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.9Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.16College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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8.34Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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10.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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6.82Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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12.86Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Grace Squires | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 15.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ella Withington | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 18.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 18.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.