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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+5.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+6.09vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+4.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+3.95vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.03+3.10vs Predicted
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72.64-0.32vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+1.75vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.11+3.84vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-2.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.49vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.44-0.12vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.09vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-1.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-5.35vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.75-5.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-4.03vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.15-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.24Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.39Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.682.640.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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12.84Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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7.25Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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11.88Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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12.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 14.5% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Dana Haig | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ella Withington | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% |
| Grace Gear | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.