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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+6.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.89+7.95vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+2.57vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.11+8.62vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.03+4.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+1.02vs Predicted
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72.64-0.36vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+1.82vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-2.62vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.28-1.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.18vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.33-5.25vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.22vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.75-4.80vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.15-3.18vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.44-5.30vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.17-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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5.57Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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12.62Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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7.02Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.642.640.1%1st Place
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9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.36Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.2College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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11.7Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 16.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 19.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.