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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+7.13vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+7.65vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+2.99vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+1.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28+2.15vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.44+4.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.17+4.56vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.11-3.99vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-2.75vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03-2.53vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.11-1.52vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.75-4.75vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-6.23vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.15-4.17vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.15Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.54Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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5.01Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.25Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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12.48Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Dana Haig | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.6% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ella Withington | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 16.4% |
| Grace Squires | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Grace Gear | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 16.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.