← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.69+5.74vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.55+5.23vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.28+5.31vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.33+3.87vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+5.27vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.44+5.61vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-0.29vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.75+2.23vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University2.55-2.08vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.11-4.76vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan2.03-1.68vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.17+0.93vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-3.25vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.11-1.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Hawaii1.15-2.32vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.89-6.18vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-6.76vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.74Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
7.23Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.31Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.87Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.61Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
-
6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
10.23College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
6.92Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.24Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
-
9.32University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
12.93University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
-
12.46Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
12.68University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.82University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
12.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% |
| Ella Withington | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 15.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 14.7% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.