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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.88vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+6.90vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.33+4.69vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75+5.73vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+1.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89+2.23vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.44+3.07vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.57vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-3.20vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.76+2.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.84vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.55-6.47vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.12vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.74vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-6.49vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.11-4.47vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.15-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.73College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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11.07Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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13.75George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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6.53Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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12.53Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 25.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 17.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Ella Withington | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.