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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+2.72vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+1.18vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.36+3.10vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+3.57vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68-2.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.12-1.50vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.57-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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3.18Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.1Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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6.26California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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7.64University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 18.5% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 23.3% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% |
| Erik Lund | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 28.2% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.4% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Travis Benton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 11.5% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.