Race 10A

toni-duetsch-58-2024

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sarah Young 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 8.5% 7.9% 7.8% 7.9% 7.3% 7.6% 7.2% 5.5% 6.8% 4.4% 2.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Dorothy Mendelblatt 14.9% 13.2% 10.7% 11.1% 10.8% 8.8% 7.8% 6.6% 5.2% 4.7% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 9.0% 10.3% 9.4% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 6.8% 6.0% 5.8% 4.5% 3.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Lucy Meagher 9.0% 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 8.0% 8.0% 7.7% 7.8% 6.9% 7.0% 6.0% 4.0% 4.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7%
Caroline Sibilly 11.6% 10.9% 11.5% 9.8% 10.8% 7.9% 7.3% 7.7% 6.2% 5.7% 3.6% 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.2% 4.0% 5.5% 5.3% 4.6% 5.5% 6.0% 6.3% 8.2% 8.5% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2% 7.8% 7.2% 2.9%
Rebecca Schill 4.9% 4.5% 4.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.7% 6.5% 6.6% 6.6% 6.8% 9.6% 8.0% 9.2% 7.9% 6.2% 3.9%
Eva Ermlich 5.0% 6.0% 5.7% 6.2% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 6.9% 6.6% 6.8% 8.5% 8.0% 7.2% 7.1% 4.1% 2.1%
Audrey Commerford 1.9% 1.8% 3.5% 2.3% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 5.1% 5.0% 6.2% 6.9% 8.9% 11.6% 15.3% 17.2%
Sophia Hubbard 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.3% 6.5% 8.0% 8.1% 9.6% 9.4% 7.6% 5.0%
Emily Mueller 5.8% 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.0% 6.6% 7.3% 7.0% 5.6% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7%
Julia Conneely 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.0% 5.1%
Haley Andreasen 3.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.3% 8.4% 7.7% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 9.3% 5.3%
Zoey Ziskind 11.1% 10.5% 9.6% 11.1% 9.6% 8.5% 9.2% 6.5% 6.2% 5.0% 4.6% 3.8% 1.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Katherine McGagh 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 5.2% 4.6% 5.8% 5.9% 8.0% 8.1% 13.0% 15.7% 15.2%
Marykate Hanus 1.7% 0.9% 2.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 3.9% 5.1% 7.1% 8.4% 16.1% 40.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.