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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+5.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.22vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+7.96vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+3.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+0.44vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.69+3.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.07+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+4.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.41-2.90vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.49+2.69vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.73-2.82vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65-3.96vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-2.85vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-1.63vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.36vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.32-6.35vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.45-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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10.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.44Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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13.69University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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9.18George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.04Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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9.64Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 23.7% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% |
| harriet jessup | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.