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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+4.66vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+9.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+10.62vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.49+8.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+3.51vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.69+2.02vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.86vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-1.43vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.66vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.07-3.39vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76+0.99vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-6.49vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-3.78vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.65-5.88vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.09-4.42vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.73-8.07vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.45-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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13.62University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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6.15Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.12Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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8.93George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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13.61University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 12.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| harriet jessup | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 19.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 21.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Emily Allen | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.