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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+6.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+3.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.13vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.03vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69+3.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+0.44vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+1.93vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.77+4.37vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.49vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.04-2.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.07-3.53vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76+0.81vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-3.12vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.45-2.34vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.09-5.65vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.49-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.73Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.93Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.37Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| harriet jessup | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 22.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.