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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+5.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.26vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.49+10.84vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.26+4.84vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+2.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.85vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-1.35vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+1.82vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-1.36vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-2.55vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-8.58vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-1.63vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.32vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.45-3.09vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.69-9.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.84University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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9.29Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.65College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.42Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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9.68Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 21.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Emily Allen | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 18.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 24.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.