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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+4.80vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+3.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.49+9.49vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.73vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.23vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.28vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+2.27vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57+0.61vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.41-3.47vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.32-0.23vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.65-2.35vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.69-4.02vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.26-3.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-2.26vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.04-8.21vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-3.39vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.45-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.32Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.49University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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10.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.53Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.77Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.65Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.98Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.79College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 21.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% |
| Emily Allen | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| harriet jessup | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 20.7% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.