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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+8.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+2.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+2.11vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.06vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+4.54vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.55-1.25vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86+0.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.09+1.42vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.45+2.56vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08+2.86vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-3.76vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.77-1.86vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.39-4.94vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.04-8.37vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-3.75vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.49-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.14Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.63College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Young | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 18.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 35.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 12.5% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.