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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+4.55vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+7.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+3.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+1.10vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+2.12vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+4.48vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+0.93vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.04-2.36vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.08+3.60vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.37vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.74vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-8.58vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.32-4.82vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.09-4.79vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.45-3.44vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.49-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.2Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.64College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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14.6University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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13.37University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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5.42Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 18.0% | 31.5% |
| harriet jessup | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Young | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Sadie Thomas | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.