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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+1.12vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+0.12vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.28-1.50vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.28-2.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.68-4.89vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis1.68-5.89vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.28-6.50vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.40-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.3%1st Place
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2.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.3%1st Place
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2.5Santa Clara University1.280.2%1st Place
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2.5Santa Clara University1.280.2%1st Place
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2.11University of California at Davis1.680.3%1st Place
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2.11University of California at Davis1.680.3%1st Place
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2.5Santa Clara University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.27California Poly Maritime Academy0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Lund | 34.9% | 30.2% | 22.4% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 34.9% | 30.2% | 22.4% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Martini | 22.0% | 25.5% | 32.7% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Martini | 22.0% | 25.5% | 32.7% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 33.7% | 32.9% | 22.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 33.7% | 32.9% | 22.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Martini | 22.0% | 25.5% | 32.7% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Davis | 9.4% | 11.4% | 22.4% | 56.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.