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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.27+6.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.48+5.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.84vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.34+3.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37+3.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.30+4.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.83+1.30vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.38-0.67vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.35-2.63vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.06-3.39vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-0.32vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.85-7.17vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.32vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-4.37vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.93-4.56vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Stanford University3.3018.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University2.274.9%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University2.487.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Naval Academy2.576.7%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College2.346.6%1st Place
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9.3Brown University2.374.3%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.025.5%1st Place
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12.8University of Rhode Island1.301.6%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.834.0%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston2.385.4%1st Place
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8.37Tulane University2.356.0%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College2.065.4%1st Place
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12.68George Washington University1.441.8%1st Place
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6.83Yale University2.8510.6%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.134.2%1st Place
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11.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.792.4%1st Place
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12.44University of Miami1.932.5%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 18.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Chase Decker | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 17.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 19.7% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 17.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.