← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles2.63+4.38vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.76vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii3.68+0.28vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.64+1.41vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.50vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.72-2.85vs Predicted
-
7Santa Clara University2.36-0.91vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25-1.73vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-2.48vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego1.57-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.38University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
-
3.76University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
-
3.28University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
-
5.41University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.5University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
3.15Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
-
6.09Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
-
6.27California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
-
7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.64University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Rex Cameron | 17.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.7% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Travis Benton | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 24.8% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% |
| Erik Lund | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 20.7% | 26.8% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.