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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+5.08vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+1.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+4.80vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.13+0.98vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49+2.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.01-0.43vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.52vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.14vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.25-9.00vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.09-9.50vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Roger Williams University1.978.9%1st Place
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6.24Brown University1.9910.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University1.555.6%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University2.1711.7%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University0.933.2%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.106.8%1st Place
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11.43University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College1.134.9%1st Place
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11.28Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.013.8%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.3%1st Place
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5.0Yale University2.2514.4%1st Place
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5.5Boston College2.0912.4%1st Place
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13.03University of New Hampshire-0.221.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Young | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 17.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 15.3% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.4% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.