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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+5.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+4.63vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.12vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+1.34vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+3.83vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.08+7.54vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+1.83vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-1.65vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32+0.53vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.41vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-6.17vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.45+0.34vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.49-0.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-1.88vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.09-4.81vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-9.07vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.00-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.83Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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14.54University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.83George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.35College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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10.53Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Michigan0.490.0%1st Place
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13.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.29Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 32.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Young | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 17.2% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% |
| harriet jessup | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.