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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.70vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+6.51vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.33+7.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11+5.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.02vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.55+2.16vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55+1.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-2.48vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75+2.77vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03+0.48vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-3.16vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-0.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.31vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-5.09vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.20-6.18vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.89-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.51Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.35Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.16Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.77College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.48Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.84Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.26Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.82Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Grace Squires | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 19.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.