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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+6.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+5.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+4.39vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+4.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75+2.27vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-0.38vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55+1.07vs Predicted
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92.64-0.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.15vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-2.37vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-0.24vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.20-2.47vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.18-3.59vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.16vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.33-5.87vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.77-4.38vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.75-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.89Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.11Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.712.640.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.63Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.76Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.53Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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10.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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12.62Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.34College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Dana Haig | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 19.7% |
| Grace Squires | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.