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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+6.76vs Predicted
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32.64+6.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+4.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+2.65vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70+2.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+4.35vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+4.36vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33+1.07vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.99-2.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.53vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.35vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-5.14vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.55-5.90vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.17vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.20-6.21vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.75-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.032.640.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.47Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.35Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.36Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.07Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.86Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.1Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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10.79Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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12.33College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Dana Haig | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 18.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.