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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+4.80vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.75+9.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+5.55vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+4.08vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99+0.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89-0.41vs Predicted
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92.64-0.25vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.55-0.59vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.57vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-2.94vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.75-6.77vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-5.04vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.77-4.42vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.55-9.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.75College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.08Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.26Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.752.640.1%1st Place
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9.41Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.7Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.06Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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8.23Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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12.58Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.97Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 18.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Dana Haig | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 18.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.