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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+8.40vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+5.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.80vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+4.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.02vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+2.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+5.44vs Predicted
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82.64+0.69vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20+1.66vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03+1.63vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.33-0.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-3.94vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.75-4.90vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-5.17vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.28vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.75-3.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.30vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.4Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.43Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.41Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.44Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.692.640.1%1st Place
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10.66Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.63Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.06Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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12.63College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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10.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Grace Squires | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 19.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.