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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.72vs Predicted
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22.64+6.96vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+6.41vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+3.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+6.18vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+0.64vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.86vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33+2.01vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20+1.62vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-1.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.58vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.89-5.47vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-1.93vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.11-4.04vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.55-6.79vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-8.41vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.75-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.962.640.1%1st Place
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9.41Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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10.62Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.56Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.07Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.59Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.35College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Dana Haig | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 17.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.