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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+6.90vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+6.70vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+6.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+3.24vs Predicted
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62.64+2.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-0.35vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.75+4.38vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.99-1.85vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.20+0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.28vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.75vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.55-4.06vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.33-4.23vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-3.69vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-3.49vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-8.35vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.11-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.7Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.33Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.742.640.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.38College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.15Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.77Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.51Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Dana Haig | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Grace Squires | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 17.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 19.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.