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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.99+8.12vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+6.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.57vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+1.12vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+2.02vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-0.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.55-0.20vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49+2.23vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.09-4.40vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-4.51vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.49vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.13-3.88vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.01-4.52vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-5.19vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University1.226.2%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University1.978.7%1st Place
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5.12Yale University2.2513.9%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.108.2%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.1710.8%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.6%1st Place
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7.8Brown University1.555.9%1st Place
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11.23Roger Williams University0.492.6%1st Place
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5.6Boston College2.0912.5%1st Place
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6.49Brown University1.999.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont0.481.6%1st Place
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9.12Bowdoin College1.134.2%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.014.0%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University0.933.7%1st Place
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13.28University of New Hampshire-0.221.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
Lucy Meagher | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Sarah Young | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Zoey Ziskind | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
Emily Mueller | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
Caroline Sibilly | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 15.9% |
Rebecca Schill | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
Sophia Hubbard | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
Haley Andreasen | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
Marykate Hanus | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.