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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley2.12+5.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.68+0.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72-0.78vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+2.51vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+0.27vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-2.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles2.63-3.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.78-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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3.22Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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6.27California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.1%1st Place
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6.12Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Benton | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| Rex Cameron | 16.6% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Adam Pokras | 22.1% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 22.5% | 22.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 31.2% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 10.6% |
| Lindsay Grove | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.