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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+7.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+6.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.81vs Predicted
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42.64+4.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+2.65vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75+6.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+1.54vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-0.84vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55+0.08vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.61vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-1.94vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.33-4.96vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.20-5.28vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.55-7.69vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.672.640.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.52College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.16Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.04Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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10.72Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.31Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Grace Squires | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.