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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+6.94vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+6.64vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+4.17vs Predicted
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52.64+3.68vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+4.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.58vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-0.82vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.55+0.10vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-1.20vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.02vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.55-2.48vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-1.80vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-1.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.80-7.03vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.11-4.89vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.77-4.42vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.20-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.64Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.682.640.1%1st Place
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10.11Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.1Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.52Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.2Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.16College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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12.58Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.44Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.