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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+6.42vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+7.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+3.49vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+3.13vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.66vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+1.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33+1.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.79vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-1.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77+0.64vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.14+1.32vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-1.99vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.55-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.11-5.01vs Predicted
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172.64-8.24vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.70-9.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.27Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.49Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.68Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.64Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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14.32Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.01College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.96Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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8.762.640.1%1st Place
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8.11Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 36.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.