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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+7.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+7.02vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+6.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.59vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.16+4.78vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+5.99vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.30vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-0.48vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-0.85vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-3.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.03vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.54-3.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.32vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.04-3.90vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-3.85vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.56vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.28-3.38vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.02Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.78Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.99Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.1College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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11.15Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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13.62Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Emily Allen | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 26.9% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.