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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.37vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+7.81vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+8.69vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+6.04vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+6.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.04vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+3.64vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-0.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.81vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.69-2.97vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-2.54vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-6.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-3.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.72vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.62-7.83vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.65-4.58vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.55-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.81Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.69Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.04Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.64College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.73Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.46Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.42Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 14.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Emily Allen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 17.9% |
| Sarah Young | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.