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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+5.67vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+7.44vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+3.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+4.13vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11+0.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30+1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.75vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-0.09vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86-0.09vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.69-5.15vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-5.73vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.65-2.71vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.16-5.74vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-5.88vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.27Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.91College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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11.91Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.85Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.29Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.26Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 16.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.